Can Lotte Kopecky win the Tour de France Femmes in 2025? The peloton gives their thoughts

Lotte Kopecky

The release of the 2025 Tour de France Femmes route has sparked fresh speculation around Lotte Kopeckyโ€™s potential to clinch the overall title. After her second-place finish in 2023, many wonder if the Belgian is poised to take the top step next year, especially with a demanding route on offer. Yet, her ultimate plans remain undecided, with her team, SD Worx-Protime, carefully assessing whether a General Classification (GC) focus aligns with the new Tour layout.

Kopecky, currently on holiday in South Africa, missed the route unveiling in Paris, but SD Worx-Protime team manager Danny Stam analysed the course with her in mind. โ€œThe Tour will be tough to control with the addition of two more days, which opens up more possibilities,โ€ Stam told Het Laatste Nieuws. โ€œThereโ€™s a bit of everything โ€“ short, steep climbs in the beginning, and the sting is definitely in the tail.โ€ He particularly noted the final Alpine stages, which will include arduous climbs to Chambรฉry, Col de la Madeleine, and Chรขtel. โ€œOnly the Saturday finish at Col de la Madeleine is really extreme,โ€ Stam added, โ€œbut the other two mountain stages are also tough, and Lotte has shown she can handle high-altitude challenges.โ€

Reflecting on Kopeckyโ€™s prospects, Stam admitted theyโ€™ve already started discussing the option of targeting the GC, but no decisions will be made until her holiday concludes. โ€œWeโ€™ll review if itโ€™s worth aiming for a top spot,โ€ he said, adding that committing to the GC would require a shift in her season plans, possibly delaying her start at the UAE Tour. โ€œThe first half of the Tour route is more suited to Lotte, while the second half gets tougherโ€ฆ I imagine Demi Vollering is pleased with the layout, but itโ€™s essential to recognise the intense competition sheโ€™ll face,โ€ Stam commented, hinting at the depth of the field Kopecky will need to contend with.

Lotte Kopecky
Lotte Kopecky

Justine Ghekiere, from AG Insurance-Soudal, shares the view that Kopecky has the potential to take the Tourโ€™s top honours. โ€œLotte has the ability to win the Tour,โ€ Ghekiere said after reviewing the course. Ghekiere, who had a standout Tour in 2024, winning a mountain stage and the polka dot jersey, believes Kopecky is equipped for the challenge. โ€œIf Lotte goes all-in, she can take it next year,โ€ she insisted, although Ghekiere herself has ruled out a personal GC bid in favour of stage wins. She added, โ€œThe Madeleine will be a real battleground.โ€

Tour director Marion Rousse has drawn attention to the 2025 routeโ€™s unique difficulties, which involve more than 17,000 metres of climbing across its extended layout. โ€œThe Tour de France Femmes is tougher than previous years,โ€ Rousse remarked, โ€œand the difficulty starts building from Thursday in the mid-mountains, culminating in the queen stage over the Madeleine. Riders will also face the Joux Plane on the final day.โ€

While the route begins with two punchy stages well-suited to Kopecky, which could grant her valuable bonus seconds early on, the question is whether she can sustain her form through the high-altitude demands of the latter stages. Rousse highlighted Kopeckyโ€™s ability to make an impact, particularly in the more moderate climbing sections: โ€œYou donโ€™t want to give Lotte too much room,โ€ she warned. โ€œShe can handle the middle mountains and has already shown her strength on significant climbs like the Tourmalet.โ€

Analyst Ine Beyen also pointed to the heightened competition Kopecky faces. โ€œAfter last yearโ€™s podium finish, itโ€™s tempting to assume Kopecky will be in the mix for the top honours, but itโ€™s not that straightforward. The race dynamics are different now, with more balanced teams and Vollering riding for another outfit.โ€

With a route thatโ€™s challenging from start to finish and Kopeckyโ€™s recent form and climbing ability, many believe she stands a genuine chance. Yet, the decision to go all-in for yellow will come down to careful planning by SD Worx-Protime as they evaluate the routeโ€™s demands and the risks and rewards of delaying other season objectives.